Allan Milne Lees
1 min readDec 8, 2024

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I think the USA going to war with China is highly unlikely. First of all, the USA won't go to war with any nation that has nuclear weapons. Secondly, Trumpies will be thrilled to let China take Taiwan unopposed because people who get invaded are "losers." Only afterward will the Trumpies realize that 90% of the most advanced CPUs will therefore be out of reach of the USA, crippling the US economy. And no, homeshoring won't compensate. But it'll be too late and China will already be firmly established. Finally, no US Prez will want to face the catastrophic loss of US personnel. When China invades Taiwan it will be operating in its own backyard after years of preparation; US carrier groups are now horrifically exposed and vulnerable. So, it's far easier to tell the good ol' folk that the USA "has no strategic interest" in Taiwan so it's not a problem to let China have it. Basically there is no scenario in which Trump and his slithering cronies would ever defend any ally, much less one that can't defend itself and is on the other side of the world where the USA is massively disadvantaged. So when Xi orders the invasion in 2027, it will be essentially unopposed. Taiwan is not Ukraine and China is not Russia, though both correctly assessed Western spinelessness and endless complacency.

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Allan Milne Lees
Allan Milne Lees

Written by Allan Milne Lees

Anyone who enjoys my articles here on Medium may be interested in my books Why Democracy Failed and The Praying Ape, both available from Amazon.

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