Ironically, I think the future is much easier to predict and much simpler than this article imagines. It's always exceptionally unwise to extrapolate into the future in a straight line - that's why we're not living in a Jetsons world today. When we look back over history we see one rather interesting phenomenon: as people become agitated by the pace of social change they yearn for simple answers to increasingly complex questions they can't actually understand. So they seek a "strong leader" who seems strong because he offers them easy-to-grasp soundbites they can chant to their hearts' content. But this "strong leader" is obviously a charlatan, and eventually policies arising from incompetence will make things worse. Now "strong leaders" always blame third parties for the woes of the world, and so this blame intensifies. Finally, we get armed conflict. This kills a lot of people, sets the clock back, and makes the immediate future much easier to understand: we have to attempt to rebuild what we've just destroyed. And so for a while people focus on simple tasks like trying to find food and shelter. But then we get better at normality, and the cycle begins again. We're actually already into the Time of Horrors, albeit at the beginning. The next several decades won't be about learning to live with work-related pressures. It will be about trying to survive the crazies who believe killing other people is the way to take back control and be great again.

Anyone who enjoys my articles here on Medium may be interested in my books Why Democracy Failed and The Praying Ape, both available from Amazon.

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