Thanks Isaac for the thoughtful response. I’m about to write an article in which I’ll show how I suspect the next 30 years will play out. It’s based on my understanding of history dating back to the earliest times, combined with my understanding of evolutionary psychology. I would dearly like to believe that there are too many variables for accurate prediction to be possible but everything my pattern-recognition-biased brain encompasses suggests that while surface details are indeed unpredictable, large-scale trends are eminently forecastable. Indeed, I’ve been doing this with depressing accuracy since 1996 when I predicted the dot-com burst and subsequent social movement towards more conservative ideologies, the move to right-wing options after the 2008 financial collapse, the success of Brexit & Trump when everyone said both were impossible, and so forth. By applying a few simple empirically derived rules about human behavior in groups and thinking forward to probable consequences of particular large-scale trends, I’m batting 100% so far. Which I would much prefer were not the case at all.