The problem for those who believe that facts have any bearing whatsoever on any US election is that a huge percentage of the population is so simple-minded and willfully ignorant that they neither know about nor care about facts. Trump's appeal is that he gives these people sound-bites their tiny brains can understand, and they love him for it. Reality is powerless in the face of ordinary human credulity and stupidity. Hence I'm nearly certain that Trump will be re-elected, and possibly this time win the popular vote as well as the absurd and utterly dysfunctional electoral college.

Anyone who enjoys my articles here on Medium may be interested in my books Why Democracy Failed and The Praying Ape, both available from Amazon.