The sad thing is that the most likely outcome will be eventual appeasement of Putin as Republican voters in the USA and "useful idiots" in Europe decide that supporting Ukraine is less desirable than "negotiated peace" that simply gives Putin breathing room to re-arm and double down on his expansionism. The West is weak, divided, ignorant, and stupid. Putin may be a brain-addled moron but we're so much worse and so his eventual success is more likely than us being able to maintain even the spineless quasi-assistance we've so far provided, in which everything has been far too little delivered far too late. So instead of Russia collapsing, it's far more likely that the West will fall apart because of internal divisions, astounding short-sightedness, and a complete inability to sustain unity. Already tens of thousands of halfwit Europeans are on the streets protesting in favor of appeasement, and already the US neofascist Republican Party is signaling its desire to end aid to Ukraine. So Putin's victory is likely only a matter of time.