Member-only story

Why China’s Invasion Of Taiwan Will Be Cost-Free

The fundamentals: why there will be neither sanctions nor military opposition

Allan Milne Lees
7 min readApr 22, 2022
Chengdu J-20. Image credit: Wikipedia

Although sanctions have never had any effect on any military campaign in history, they do enable windy Western politicians to pretend to be “doing something” while actually doing nothing meaningful to oppose aggression. The West has continued to exclude a wide range of Russian exports from the supposedly “punitive” sanctions that journalists love to talk about, and Europe is still sending Russia tens of millions of Euros per week for Russian oil and gas even as Russia reduces Ukraine to rubble and Russian soldiers continue to rape and mutilate girls as young as seven years of age.

But even the pathetically pointless sanctions imposed on Russia are huge compared to what the West could realistically do when China finally invades Taiwan in the middle of this decade. This article will examine why China is effectively sanctions-proof, and why there will be no military opposition to its invasion force.

Starting with money, China currently holds about $2 trillion in bonds (primarily US, Euro, Swiss) that could in theory be frozen by the West. This is, however, not going to happen because the West has $3.6 trillion invested in Chinese assets such as factories (which can’t be pulled out of…

--

--

Allan Milne Lees
Allan Milne Lees

Written by Allan Milne Lees

Anyone who enjoys my articles here on Medium may be interested in my books Why Democracy Failed and The Praying Ape, both available from Amazon.

No responses yet